{
  "generatedAt": "2026-06-30T15:45:30.862Z",
  "site": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai",
  "model": {
    "sims": 20000,
    "eloSnapshot": "2026-06-10",
    "playedMatches": 76,
    "params": {
      "baseGoals": 1.3,
      "goalScale": 500,
      "dcRho": -0.1,
      "hostBonus": 50,
      "altitudeBonus": 25,
      "weatherAdj": 15,
      "penaltyCompress": 0.6,
      "eloK": 60
    },
    "note": "已计入 76 场真实比分并据此动态更新 Elo，其余场次为模拟结果。"
  },
  "champion": {
    "team": "阿根廷",
    "en": "Argentina",
    "pChampion": 28.1,
    "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/argentina/"
  },
  "topP16": [
    {
      "team": "加拿大",
      "en": "Canada",
      "p16": 100,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/canada/"
    },
    {
      "team": "巴西",
      "en": "Brazil",
      "p16": 100,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/brazil/"
    },
    {
      "team": "摩洛哥",
      "en": "Morocco",
      "p16": 100,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/morocco/"
    },
    {
      "team": "巴拉圭",
      "en": "Paraguay",
      "p16": 100,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/paraguay/"
    },
    {
      "team": "阿根廷",
      "en": "Argentina",
      "p16": 96.4,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/argentina/"
    },
    {
      "team": "法国",
      "en": "France",
      "p16": 93.1,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/france/"
    },
    {
      "team": "英格兰",
      "en": "England",
      "p16": 92.2,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/england/"
    },
    {
      "team": "西班牙",
      "en": "Spain",
      "p16": 90.8,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/spain/"
    }
  ],
  "topP8": [
    {
      "team": "阿根廷",
      "en": "Argentina",
      "p8": 90.2,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/argentina/"
    },
    {
      "team": "法国",
      "en": "France",
      "p8": 85.2,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/france/"
    },
    {
      "team": "巴西",
      "en": "Brazil",
      "p8": 80.8,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/brazil/"
    },
    {
      "team": "摩洛哥",
      "en": "Morocco",
      "p8": 70.3,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/morocco/"
    },
    {
      "team": "西班牙",
      "en": "Spain",
      "p8": 67.1,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/spain/"
    },
    {
      "team": "英格兰",
      "en": "England",
      "p8": 62.2,
      "url": "https://knockoutradar.wisentech.ai/teams/england/"
    }
  ],
  "collisionWatch": [
    {
      "a": "英格兰",
      "b": "墨西哥",
      "round": "16 强",
      "meetingProbability": 65.8,
      "predictedWinner": "英格兰"
    },
    {
      "a": "西班牙",
      "b": "葡萄牙",
      "round": "16 强",
      "meetingProbability": 59,
      "predictedWinner": "西班牙"
    },
    {
      "a": "西班牙",
      "b": "克罗地亚",
      "round": "16 强",
      "meetingProbability": 31.8,
      "predictedWinner": "西班牙"
    }
  ],
  "final": {
    "a": "法国",
    "b": "阿根廷",
    "pairProbability": 20.1,
    "predictedWinner": "阿根廷"
  },
  "caveat": "Probabilistic simulation, not official odds or betting advice."
}